Credit put spread analysis · · Good setup
Hypothetical credit put spread idea
AI-evaluated setup from the latest screen — for education only. Expiration Oct 22, 2026.
- Width
- $5.00
- Estimated credit
- $0.03
- Max risk
- $4.97
- Return on risk
- 0.6%
- Expiration
- Oct 22, 2026
Hypothetical AI analysis for education & entertainment — not financial advice or a recommendation to trade. Disclaimer.
Earlier analyses
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Trading this name means confronting a volatile commodity stock that just got smacked back to a key support shelf around $69-$70. The 50% IV is high but justified given the 53% realized vol, making the options slightly ch…
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Structure-wise, the selloff to $71 is testing the 50-day moving average and a prior consolidation zone — the chart obsessive in me sees a potential floor here. IV at 56% is slightly cheap to realized vol, offering decent…
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Structure-wise, the 6.6% flush to $71.21 is a gift for selling premium, but the chart's uptrend is still intact—this is a pullback, not a breakdown. IV at 57% is slightly cheap to its own realized vol, giving us a decent…
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The floor on this chart is the real question: after a 21% two-month run, a -7% flush tests the uptrend's resolve. Key support sits around $58, where the 50-day moving average and prior consolidation converge. IV at 62% i…
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Strip out the noise and what you've got is a stock that's still up 21% in two months taking a breather. The 6.95% flush looks scary, but it's just back to the 20-day moving average — the uptrend's intact. IV at 65% is sl…
AI analysis
Options Trader · Sep 14, 2026
If you're selling puts here, you're betting yesterday's 6. 6% flush found a floor. The chart shows a clear Doji reversal right at the 50-day moving average — that's a classic 'hold the line' signal after a panic sell.
IV at 48% is slightly cheap versus realized vol, so the premium's decent but not screaming. The risk is the safety score of 6/10; this is a copper miner, not a utility, so macro wobbles can still hurt. Structure a defined-risk put spread: sell the $66 put, buy the $64 put for a $0.
70 credit. That's a 35% credit-to-width ratio on a $2 spread — you get paid for the risk. Max loss is contained to $130 per spread.
Verdict: decent odds, but keep it small.