MRNA
Moderna
Rating 3.8 / 5 AI signal Open signal

Credit put spread analysis · · Good setup

IV Rank
81
Implied volatility percentile
Trend
0.85
Long-term trend score
Safety
5/10
Quality checks passed
Drop
-7.5%
Day 2 of drop
Reversal
Doji
Day 3
1Y Change
56.9%
Trailing 12 months
Earnings
Clear
No event in window

AI analysis

Trading this name means confronting a rocket that just hit turbulence — up 57% in two months before yesterday's 7. 5% flush. The doji reversal signal is interesting, but IV at 81% is just slightly cheap versus realized vol, so the premium is decent but not screaming.

Key support sits around $55, where it's bounced twice before. I'd sell the $55 put and buy the $53 for a defined risk spread. That's 7.

8% OTM on the short leg, a $2 wide spread, and we should pocket about $0. 55. The credit-to-width ratio of 0.

275 clears our floor. It's a moderate-risk play on the trend finding its footing. Verdict: A decent shot at the floor holding.

Hypothetical credit put spread idea

AI-evaluated setup from the latest screen — for education only. Expiration Aug 27, 2026.

Sell
$45.00
Short put (collects premium)
Buy
$40.00
Long put (caps risk)
Width
$5.00
Estimated credit
$0.24
Max risk
$4.76
Return on risk
5.0%
Expiration
Aug 27, 2026

Hypothetical AI analysis for education & entertainment — not financial advice or a recommendation to trade. Disclaimer.

Earlier analyses

  1. 3.4/5 Hold signal

    Trading this name means confronting a rocket that just hit turbulence. Up 57% in two months, yesterday's 7.5% drop is a healthy flush, not a breakdown. The chart shows a doji reversal attempt at the 20-day moving average…

  2. 2.5/5 Pass signal

    Trading this name means confronting a rocket ship that just blew a gasket. Up 57% in two months, now down 7.5% on a doji reversal—classic profit-taking exhaustion. The chart shows a potential floor near $60, but IV at 59…

  3. 3.4/5 Hold signal

    [dedup-flagged] Trading this name means confronting a rocket ship that just hit a speed bump. It's up 57% in two months, so a 6% pullback barely touches the trend. The chart shows no reversal signal, and IV at 100% is ri…

  4. 3.8/5 Hold signal

    [dedup-flagged] Trading this name means confronting a rocket that just hit turbulence. The -11% drop is a violent shakeout, but it's still up 59% in two months — this is a pullback in a raging uptrend, not a breakdown. T…

  5. 3.5/5 Open signal

    Trading this name means confronting a rocket that just lost a thruster — up 58% in two months, then a -11% flush. The chart shows a clear trend break, and that 7/10 safety score is a mirage; this is biotech volatility at…