Credit put spread analysis · · Good setup
Hypothetical credit put spread idea
AI-evaluated setup from the latest screen — for education only. Expiration Aug 20, 2026.
- Width
- $5.00
- Estimated credit
- $0.25
- Max risk
- $4.75
- Return on risk
- 5.3%
- Expiration
- Aug 20, 2026
Hypothetical AI analysis for education & entertainment — not financial advice or a recommendation to trade. Disclaimer.
Earlier analyses
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[dedup-flagged] The chart tells an interesting story here: a 29% run-up over two months, now a sharp -5% drop. But the Doji reversal signal is a flicker, not a floor. IV is 100% — rich, but it's pricing in the 61% realiz…
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Before you touch this spread, know you're selling into a 29% two-month uptrend that just took a 5% haircut. The chart shows no reversal signal yet, so we're trying to catch a falling knife without a handle. IV at 100% is…
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[dedup-flagged] Trading this name means confronting a 94% IV that's rich versus realized vol, but the stock is up 29% in two months and just got smacked -5%. The chart shows a strong uptrend, but that 'Safety: 4/10' scre…
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Here's the risk/reward in plain English: The stock is still in a strong uptrend despite yesterday's drop, which found a floor at a key prior support level. IV is rich at 49%, covering the realized vol, so we're getting p…
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If you're selling puts here, you're betting the Doji reversal holds a floor near $32. The 55% IV is rich but justified given the 60% realized vol, so the premium pays. The chart shows a strong uptrend over two months, an…
AI analysis
Options Trader · Jul 12, 2026
First thing I'd check on this name: that 100% IV is screaming rich, pricing in more volatility than the 68. 5% realized vol we've seen. The math says we're getting paid for risk, and the doji reversal after a 5% drop suggests the selloff might be finding a floor near the $34.
50 support zone from last month. But the trend is still up 29% over two months — this is a pullback, not a breakdown. The risk is the safety score of 7/10; it's not a disaster, but it's not bulletproof either.
Structuring a put spread 7% OTM gives us a defined risk play. Sell the $33 put, buy the $31. 50 for a $1.
50 wide spread. Target a conservative $0. 45 credit, giving us a 0.
30 credit-to-width ratio. That's a decent premium for a stock that's still in an uptrend and has IV working in our favor.