Rating
3.5 / 5
Recommendation
Open trade
Credit put spread analysis · · Good setup
IV Rank
58
Implied volatility percentile
Trend
0.52
Long-term trend score
Safety
6/9
Quality checks passed
Drop
-7.3%
Day 4 of drop
1Y Change
5.4%
Trailing 12 months
Earnings
Clear
No event in window
Recommended credit put spread
AI-suggested setup based on the latest screen. Expiration Jun 25, 2026.
Sell
$115.00
Short put (collects premium)
Buy
$110.00
Long put (caps risk)
- Width
- $5.00
- Estimated credit
- $0.91
- Max risk
- $4.09
- Return on risk
- 22.2%
- Expiration
- Jun 25, 2026
For entertainment purposes only. Not a recommendation to trade. Disclaimer.
Earlier analyses
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Analyzing WMT after a sharp -7.27% single-day drop presents a classic 'oversold bounce' scenario for a credit put spread. The stock is at $121.34, with a 5.4% gain over two months still intact, suggesting the long-term u…
AI analysis
Options Trading Expert · May 21, 2026
WMT presents a mixed opportunity after a sharp 7. 27% drop. The stock is at $120.
27, with a high IV of 58% indicating elevated option premiums, which is attractive for a credit spread. However, the drop was significant and there is no reversal signal, suggesting the downward pressure could persist. The Safety score of 6/9 is moderate, not high, and the long-term trend is still positive at 52%, but the recent volatility is a concern.
For a moderately aggressive trader, this is a decent setup because the high IV allows for collecting a meaningful credit on a spread that is 3-7% OTM, providing a buffer against further downside. The key is to place the short put sufficiently below the current price to account for the recent drop's momentum. A spread around 5% OTM would be $114.
26, which is reasonable. The credit-to-width ratio must meet the 0. 25 floor, which should be achievable with a $3-$5 wide spread given the current volatility.
The expiration of 2026-06-26 is within the 35-40 day window, ideal for capturing premium decay without excessive long-term risk. The primary risk is that the drop continues, but the defined risk of the spread and the collected credit provide a moderate risk/reward. Given the temperament and the rules, a setup can be constructed, but it's not a perfect 5.
0 due to the lack of a clear reversal signal and the single-day shock.