Credit put spread analysis · · Good setup
Hypothetical credit put spread idea
AI-evaluated setup from the latest screen — for education only. Expiration Oct 29, 2026.
- Width
- $1.00
- Estimated credit
- $0.00
- Max risk
- $1.00
- Return on risk
- 0.0%
- Expiration
- Oct 29, 2026
Hypothetical AI analysis for education & entertainment — not financial advice or a recommendation to trade. Disclaimer.
Earlier analyses
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Structure-wise, the 5% flush on decent volume is tempting, but the chart shows a clear break below the 50-day moving average with no immediate support until $42. The IV at 29% is actually cheap relative to the 42% realiz…
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Structure-wise, the selloff to $44.43 is testing a key support shelf from late July. IV at 40% is rich relative to its own realized vol, so we're getting paid for the perceived risk. The chart shows a clear uptrend over…
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Structure-wise, the selloff to $54.10 is testing the lower bound of a strong uptrend. The chart shows a Doji reversal signal, hinting at a potential floor, but we need to see follow-through. IV at 74% is elevated but sli…
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Structure-wise, this is a trap. The stock is up 42% in two months and just got hammered -5.6% on a Doji reversal day — that's not a floor, it's a warning shot. IV at 77% is high, but it's actually cheap relative to reali…
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Structure-wise, the selloff looks like noise in a strong uptrend, but 76% IV is juicy. The chart shows solid support at $50, a level it's held for weeks. That's our floor. With IV slightly cheap to realized vol, we're ge…
AI analysis
Options Trader · Sep 21, 2026
Structure-wise, the 5% flush to $44. 71 is a gift if it holds. The chart shows a clear uptrend over two months, and yesterday's drop found a floor at a key prior reaction level — that Doji screams indecision, not capitulation.
IV at 31% is rich relative to realized vol, so we're getting paid for the perceived risk. The risk is that 39% realized vol is still hot, and a break below yesterday's low could see a swift retest of $42. I'm selling the $42 put and buying the $40 for protection, a $2 wide spread that keeps max loss contained.
The $0. 55 credit gives us a 27. 5% return on risk, just clearing our floor.
It's a decent bet the trend resumes after a shakeout.