Credit put spread analysis · · Moderate setup
Earlier analyses
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What jumps off the page: a 7% flush on no news, but it's just a dip back to the $45 support zone that's held for two months. The IV at 97% is screaming, but that's the problem—it's pricing in panic, not a rational premiu…
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The premium math is where this gets interesting: a 96% IV screams panic, but the chart shows a stock that's still up 7.6% over two months and just gave back a week's gains. This isn't a true breakdown; it's a flush. The…
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My read starts with the trend: up 7.6% over two months, but that 7.22% single-day haircut yesterday is a violent rejection of that momentum. The chart obsessive in me sees a stock that just broke a key support level it h…
AI analysis
Options Trader · Jun 9, 2026
Strip out the noise and what you've got is a stock that's still up 7. 6% over two months despite yesterday's plunge. The chart shows no reversal signal, meaning this could just be a shakeout within a larger uptrend, not a true floor.
With IV at 100%, the premium is tempting, but the Safety score is a rock-bottom 5/9. That's a flashing warning sign. The risk here is that the drop accelerates before any technical support kicks in, and we'd be selling puts into a potential waterfall.
I need to see a confirmed hold at a key prior level before committing capital. The math is attractive, but the price action isn't cooperating yet.