Credit put spread analysis · · Moderate setup
Trade history on SEDG
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| Opened | Strikes (S/B) | Expiration | Credit | P/L | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 28, 2026 | $50.00/$48.00 | Aug 6, 2026 | $0.71 | -$1.33 | Loss · reconciled_broker_close |
Earlier analyses
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Price action on this drop shows a hammer reversal after a 45% two-month run-up, suggesting a potential floor. The 64% IV is rich and actually covers the 90% realized vol, so we're getting paid for the risk. Key support s…
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Strip out the noise and what you've got is a stock that just got smacked after a huge run, but the hammer reversal suggests a floor is being tested. IV at 61% is rich and actually covers the wild 90% realized vol, so we'…
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What jumps off the page: a 9% flush after a 40% run-up is a classic shakeout, and the hammer reversal signal suggests buyers are stepping in. The chart shows a clear floor forming around yesterday's low, which is now cri…
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This selloff deserves a closer look — it's a 9% drop, but the stock is still up 42% over two months, so you're selling into a strong uptrend that's just taking a breather. IV at 65% is rich versus realized vol, so we're…
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The chart tells an interesting story here: a 9% flush after a 40%+ two-month run. That's a classic shakeout, not a trend break. Key support is the $50 level, which has held twice this year. IV at 63% is high but still sl…
AI analysis
Options Trader · Oct 6, 2026
[dedup-flagged] Before you touch this spread, note the 61% realized volatility against a 25% IV. The IV is rich, but that's just math catching up to a stock that's been a falling knife. The chart shows no floor; yesterday's -5.
5% drop broke the 20% uptrend line, and support is a ghost story. In this cautious regime, selling a put here is catching a falling anchor. The risk/reward is a mirage: to get a decent credit, you'd have to sell too close to the money, and the narrow spread width needed for defined risk yields a pathetic premium.
Wait for a confirmed base. The setup is weak.