CBRE
CBRE Group
Rating 3.5 / 5 Recommendation Open trade

Credit put spread analysis · · Good setup

IV Rank
38
Implied volatility percentile
Trend
0.39
Long-term trend score
Safety
5/9
Quality checks passed
Drop
-5.8%
Day 2 of drop
1Y Change
7.7%
Trailing 12 months
Earnings
Clear
No event in window

AI analysis

Analyzing CBRE after a sharp -5. 83% drop to $128. 15.

The stock is still up 7. 7% over two months, indicating the broader uptrend is intact, but the recent sell-off creates a potential entry for a credit put spread. The IV of 38% is elevated, providing decent premium, but not excessively high.

The 'Safety' score of 5/9 is middling, suggesting moderate fundamental risk. The lack of a reversal signal means the downtrend could continue, increasing assignment risk on a short put. For a moderately aggressive trader, this is a borderline case.

The drop improves the premium for selling puts, but entering immediately after a large single-day decline carries the risk of continued momentum selling. A prudent approach would be to structure a spread that collects sufficient premium relative to risk. Using the 2026-07-17 expiration (59 DTE, slightly outside the ideal 35-40 day window but the only provided Friday), we can target a sell strike approximately 5% OTM.

This balances premium capture with a reasonable buffer. The calculated strikes and credit meet the critical risk/reward floor, making the trade mechanically sound, but the timing post-drop is the primary concern, capping the rating.

Recommended credit put spread

AI-suggested setup based on the latest screen. Expiration Jul 16, 2026.

Sell
$120.00
Short put (collects premium)
Buy
$115.00
Long put (caps risk)
Width
$5.00
Estimated credit
$1.08
Max risk
$3.92
Return on risk
27.6%
Expiration
Jul 16, 2026

For entertainment purposes only. Not a recommendation to trade. Disclaimer.

Earlier analyses

  1. 3.7/5 Open trade

    The -5.83% drop in CBRE presents a potential entry for a moderately aggressive trader, but the setup is decent with notable concerns. The stock is still up 7.7% over two months, suggesting the recent pullback may be a he…

  2. 3.5/5 Open trade

    CBRE presents a mixed opportunity after a sharp -5.83% drop. The stock is still up 7.7% over two months, indicating underlying strength, but the Trend score of 39% and Safety score of 5/9 suggest moderate, not high, conv…

  3. 2.5/5 Hold

    Analyzing CBRE after a -5.83% drop to $132.45. While the drop creates a potential entry point for a credit put spread, several factors argue against an immediate OPEN. The stock's high Implied Volatility (IV) of 100% is…