CMG
Chipotle Mexican Grill
Rating 3.8 / 5 AI signal Hold signal

Credit put spread analysis · · Good setup

AI analysis

[dedup-flagged] This selloff deserves a closer look — a 6% drop on a hammer reversal day suggests a potential floor, but the chart needs to prove it can hold above $32. The IV is 33%, slightly cheap to realized vol, offering decent premium for the defined risk. I'd sell the $32 put and buy the $30.

5 for a $0. 70 credit. That's a $1.

50 wide spread, giving a 0. 47 credit-to-width ratio that pays for the risk. Max loss is $80 per spread, which is manageable.

The math works, but only if you believe the uptrend's momentum can absorb this shakeout. A decent, not perfect, defined-risk entry.

Earlier analyses

  1. 3.8/5 Hold signal

    [dedup-flagged] What jumps off the page: a 6% flush after a two-month 11% run-up, but the chart shows it's still holding well above its 200-day trend line. IV at 47% is rich relative to realized vol, so we're getting pai…

  2. 0.0/5 Hold signal

    [dedup-flagged] What jumps off the page: a 6% flush on a stock that's still up 29% in two months. The chart shows no floor yet, and the IV at 45% is rich but justified given the 40% realized vol. This is a momentum stock…

  3. 3.2/5 Hold signal

    What jumps off the page: a 6% flush on a stock that's still up double-digits over two months. The chart shows a clear uptrend, but yesterday's selloff broke a key short-term level. IV at 50% is rich versus realized vol,…