DKNG
DraftKings
Rating 2.5 / 5 AI signal Hold signal

Credit put spread analysis · · Moderate setup

IV Rank
78
Implied volatility percentile
Trend
0.44
Long-term trend score
Safety
6/10
Quality checks passed
Drop
-7.7%
Day 3 of drop
Reversal
Hammer
Day 4
1Y Change
17.9%
Trailing 12 months
Earnings
Clear
No event in window

AI analysis

This selloff deserves a closer look, but the math is fighting us. IV at 78% looks juicy, but it's actually cheap relative to the 68% realized vol — selling premium here is structurally negative-EV. The chart shows a hammer reversal, but that's a single candle in a stock that's still up 18% in two months; we need to see if $25 holds as a floor.

The risk-first view says the sector's still frothy, and a 7% drop isn't enough cushion for a name this volatile. I'd want to see either a deeper pullback toward $24 for a better entry or a confirmed bounce off this level with IV expanding. For now, the odds don't pay for the risk.

Verdict: Wait for a better pitch.