HPQ
Rating 4.2 / 5 AI signal Open signal

Credit put spread analysis · · Good setup

IV Rank
56
Implied volatility percentile
Trend
0.23
Long-term trend score
Safety
7/10
Quality checks passed
Drop
-6.9%
Day 2 of drop
Reversal
Hammer
Day 3
1Y Change
9.1%
Trailing 12 months
Earnings
Clear
No event in window

AI analysis

Structure-wise, the hammer reversal after a -7% flush is textbook support-seeking behavior — it's bouncing right off the 50-day moving average. IV at 56% is rich versus realized vol, so we're getting paid for the scare. The risk is this breaks $29.

50, the floor from August. I'd sell the Nov20 $28 put (about 8% OTM) and buy the $26. 50 for protection — a $1.

50 wide spread. Should collect around $0. 45, giving a credit-to-width of 0.

30. That's solid premium for defined risk on a stock that's still up 9% over two months. The math likes the odds here.

Verdict: Sell the panic, buy the floor.

Hypothetical credit put spread idea

AI-evaluated setup from the latest screen — for education only. Expiration Nov 19, 2026.

Sell
$26.00
Short put (collects premium)
Buy
$25.00
Long put (caps risk)
Width
$1.00
Estimated credit
$0.00
Max risk
$1.00
Return on risk
0.0%
Expiration
Nov 19, 2026

Hypothetical AI analysis for education & entertainment — not financial advice or a recommendation to trade. Disclaimer.

Earlier analyses

  1. 3.7/5 Open signal

    Trading this name means confronting a sharp one-day flush after a strong run, but the hammer reversal on day four suggests the selling might be exhausting itself. Key support from the August breakout sits around $28.50,…

  2. 3.2/5 Hold signal

    Trading this name means confronting a sharp one-day flush after a strong run, but the 54% IV is rich and actually covers the 43% realized vol. The chart shows a clear uptrend over two months, so this is likely a healthy…

  3. 3.4/5 Hold signal

    Trading this name means confronting a 53% IV wall that's finally pricing in the stock's own realized volatility. The chart shows a sharp drop but it's still up 9% over two months; this is a pullback within an uptrend, no…

  4. 2.5/5 Hold signal

    The selloff looks dramatic until you realize this stock is still up 31% in two months and sitting at a 73% IV that's screaming 'overreaction tax.' Yesterday's -7% plunge is testing the first meaningful support level arou…

  5. 2.5/5 Hold signal

    What jumps off the page: a stock that's up 31% in two months just took a -7% gut punch, but the chart shows this is the first real test of the uptrend's momentum. The key level to watch is the $25.50-$26.00 zone, where t…