LKQ
LKQ Corporation
Rating 3.8 / 5 Recommendation Open trade

Credit put spread analysis · · Good setup

IV Rank
100
Implied volatility percentile
Trend
0.62
Long-term trend score
Safety
6/9
Quality checks passed
Drop
-9.7%
Day 2 of drop
1Y Change
5.4%
Trailing 12 months
Earnings
Clear
No event in window

AI analysis

LKQ presents a mixed but actionable opportunity for a moderately aggressive credit put spread. The stock's sharp -9. 72% single-day drop creates an elevated IV environment (100%), which is ideal for selling premium.

The stock is still up 5. 4% over two months, indicating the broader trend isn't decisively broken, and a safety score of 6/9 provides some fundamental cushion. However, the lack of a clear reversal signal and the significant drop itself introduce near-term risk of continued selling pressure.

The key is structuring a spread that pays well for the risk taken. With the stock at $28. 77, a sell strike 5-7% out-of-the-money aligns with our rules: $27.

00 is approximately 6. 2% OTM. A $2 wide spread to $25.

00 for the long put provides a manageable risk defined at $200 per contract. The target credit of $0. 55 gives a credit-to-width ratio of 0.

275, which just meets our hard floor of 0. 25. This is a decent, not perfect, risk/reward.

The premium is modest but acceptable given the stock's volatility and price level. The expiration in 35-40 days provides enough time for the stock to stabilize after its violent move while not exposing us to excessive theta decay risk. For a moderately aggressive trader leaning OPEN on reasonable setups, this qualifies.

The concerns are valid, but the elevated IV and defined risk profile make it a calculated entry.

Recommended credit put spread

AI-suggested setup based on the latest screen. Expiration Jun 11, 2026.

Sell
$27.00
Short put (collects premium)
Buy
$25.00
Long put (caps risk)
Width
$2.00
Estimated credit
$0.55
Max risk
$1.45
Return on risk
37.9%
Expiration
Jun 11, 2026

For entertainment purposes only. Not a recommendation to trade. Disclaimer.

Earlier analyses

  1. 2.8/5 Pass

    The -9.72% drop in LKQ presents a tempting volatility spike for a credit put spread, but the overall setup is weak and does not meet our criteria for a moderately aggressive entry. The stock is now at $27.75, down signif…