Rating
3.8 / 5
Recommendation
Open trade
Credit put spread analysis · · Good setup
IV Rank
100
Implied volatility percentile
Trend
0.62
Long-term trend score
Safety
6/9
Quality checks passed
Drop
-9.7%
Day 2 of drop
1Y Change
5.4%
Trailing 12 months
Earnings
Clear
No event in window
Recommended credit put spread
AI-suggested setup based on the latest screen. Expiration Jun 11, 2026.
Sell
$27.00
Short put (collects premium)
Buy
$25.00
Long put (caps risk)
- Width
- $2.00
- Estimated credit
- $0.55
- Max risk
- $1.45
- Return on risk
- 37.9%
- Expiration
- Jun 11, 2026
For entertainment purposes only. Not a recommendation to trade. Disclaimer.
Earlier analyses
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The -9.72% drop in LKQ presents a tempting volatility spike for a credit put spread, but the overall setup is weak and does not meet our criteria for a moderately aggressive entry. The stock is now at $27.75, down signif…
AI analysis
Options Trading Expert · May 5, 2026
LKQ presents a mixed but actionable opportunity for a moderately aggressive credit put spread. The stock's sharp -9. 72% single-day drop creates an elevated IV environment (100%), which is ideal for selling premium.
The stock is still up 5. 4% over two months, indicating the broader trend isn't decisively broken, and a safety score of 6/9 provides some fundamental cushion. However, the lack of a clear reversal signal and the significant drop itself introduce near-term risk of continued selling pressure.
The key is structuring a spread that pays well for the risk taken. With the stock at $28. 77, a sell strike 5-7% out-of-the-money aligns with our rules: $27.
00 is approximately 6. 2% OTM. A $2 wide spread to $25.
00 for the long put provides a manageable risk defined at $200 per contract. The target credit of $0. 55 gives a credit-to-width ratio of 0.
275, which just meets our hard floor of 0. 25. This is a decent, not perfect, risk/reward.
The premium is modest but acceptable given the stock's volatility and price level. The expiration in 35-40 days provides enough time for the stock to stabilize after its violent move while not exposing us to excessive theta decay risk. For a moderately aggressive trader leaning OPEN on reasonable setups, this qualifies.
The concerns are valid, but the elevated IV and defined risk profile make it a calculated entry.