Rating
0.0 / 5
Recommendation
Pass
Credit put spread analysis · · Avoid
IV Rank
100
Implied volatility percentile
Trend
0.87
Long-term trend score
Safety
6/9
Quality checks passed
Drop
-5.7%
Day 2 of drop
1Y Change
20.1%
Trailing 12 months
Earnings
Clear
No event in window
Earlier analyses
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Analyzing MTCH at $36.60 after a -5.71% drop. The stock is up 20.1% over two months with a strong trend score of 87%, suggesting underlying bullish momentum that could support a bounce. However, the safety score is low a…
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Analyzing MTCH at $35.83 after a sharp -5.71% drop. The stock is up 20.1% over two months with a strong 87% trend score, but the Safety rating is a concerning 3/9, indicating fundamental weakness and elevated risk. The I…
AI analysis
Options Trading Expert · May 11, 2026
The setup is fundamentally flawed and dangerous. The stock's 100% IV indicates extreme volatility and risk, while the 6/9 Safety score suggests poor underlying fundamentals. A single -5.
71% drop on a stock with such high volatility is not a reliable signal for a bullish put spread; it could easily be the start of a larger correction. The critical issue is the 'Hard floor' rule: credit/width >= 0. 25.
Given the high IV, we could likely get a decent credit, but the risk/reward is terrible. The maximum loss on a put spread is the width minus the credit. With a stock this volatile and a safety score this low, the probability of the short strike being breached is high, making the expected value of the trade negative.
The 20. 1% 2-month gain and 87% trend are lagging indicators that increase the risk of a mean reversion drop. For a moderately aggressive trader, this is not 'moderate risk'—it's excessive, uncompensated risk.
Better opportunities with clearer support levels and lower volatility exist.