Credit put spread analysis · · Good setup
Recommended credit put spread
AI-suggested setup based on the latest screen. Expiration Jun 18, 2026.
- Width
- $5.00
- Estimated credit
- $1.36
- Max risk
- $3.64
- Return on risk
- 37.4%
- Expiration
- Jun 18, 2026
For entertainment purposes only. Not a recommendation to trade. Disclaimer.
Earlier analyses
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PVH presents a mixed bag for a credit put spread. The stock has had a massive 44.8% run-up over two months, making the recent -6.91% drop a potential healthy pullback within a strong uptrend (Trend: 80%). The elevated IV…
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Analyzing PVH after a sharp -6.91% drop to $82.48. The stock is up 44.8% over two months, indicating a strong prior uptrend that may be experiencing a pullback. The high IV of 95% is attractive for selling premium, and t…
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The sharp -6.91% drop in PVH presents a tempting entry point for a credit put spread, but the overall context argues for caution. The stock is up nearly 45% over two months, suggesting this pullback may be a healthy cons…
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The setup for a credit put spread on PVH is weak, leading to a WAIT recommendation. While the stock's 32.1% run-up over two months and the sharp -5.35% pullback create potential for a mean-reversion play, several critica…
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The setup is weak. PVH has dropped 5.35% on a single day, but this follows a massive 32.1% rally over two months. The stock is likely in a volatile consolidation phase after such a sharp run-up. While the 49% IV offers d…
AI analysis
Options Trading Expert · May 13, 2026
Analyzing PVH after a sharp -6. 91% drop: The setup presents a mixed picture with both opportunity and significant risk. The stock is still up 44.
8% over two months, indicating the recent drop may be a healthy pullback within a strong uptrend (Trend: 80%). However, the high Implied Volatility (IV: 100%) is a double-edged sword; it allows for attractive premium collection but signals elevated market fear and potential for continued volatility. The 'Doji reversal day 3' signal suggests indecision, which could precede a bounce or further decline.
For a moderately aggressive trader, selling a put spread here is a play on the uptrend resuming and the pullback being contained. The safety score of 6/9 provides some fundamental cushion. The primary risk is that the sharp drop is the start of a deeper correction, given the extended prior rally.
A credit put spread allows us to define risk precisely. Based on the current price of $80. 72, a sell strike 5% OTM (~$76.
68) and a buy strike $3 lower (~$73. 68) would create a $3 wide spread. A realistic estimated credit for this structure in a 100% IV environment would be around $0.
90-$1. 10, meeting the critical credit/width ratio of >=0. 25.
The expiration in the specified 35-40 day range (2026-06-19) is ideal for theta decay. The decision leans OPEN because the premium is sufficient for the defined risk, the trend context is still positive, and the drop provides a better entry point than chasing the highs. However, the rating is tempered to 3.
5 due to the high volatility and the need for the stock to stabilize above the short strike.