APA
APA Corporation
Rating 3.2 / 5 AI signal Hold signal

Credit put spread analysis · · Moderate setup

IV Rank
71
Implied volatility percentile
Trend
0.79
Long-term trend score
Safety
5/10
Quality checks passed
Drop
-5.8%
Day 5 of drop
1Y Change
24.7%
Trailing 12 months
Earnings
Clear
No event in window

AI analysis

The AI's notes below mention opening a position, but the rating (3.2/5) sits below our public-display threshold of 3.5/5, so this setup is marked Hold rather than as a tradable idea.

Structure-wise, the 71% IV is rich and pays for the risk, but this is a momentum stock that just got smacked. The chart shows a clear uptrend, but yesterday's -5. 8% drop is testing the first real support level since the run began.

IV/RV at 1. 28 tells us we're getting paid for volatility that's already happened — that's the quant edge. The risk is this breaks the trend and keeps falling; safety score of 5/10 confirms it's not a fortress.

I'd sell the $42 put and buy the $40 for a defined risk spread. We're collecting about $0. 75 on a $2 wide, a 0.

375 credit-to-width ratio that clears our floor. It's a decent, not great, setup — we're leaning on the IV premium to justify the entry on a shaky chart.