Credit put spread analysis · · Good setup
Hypothetical credit put spread idea
AI-evaluated setup from the latest screen — for education only. Expiration Oct 29, 2026.
- Width
- $1.00
- Estimated credit
- $0.00
- Max risk
- $1.00
- Return on risk
- 0.0%
- Expiration
- Oct 29, 2026
Hypothetical AI analysis for education & entertainment — not financial advice or a recommendation to trade. Disclaimer.
Earlier analyses
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The premium math is where this gets interesting: IV at 26% is cheap relative to the 40% realized vol from that drop, so we're getting paid for real risk. The chart shows a clear uptrend over two months, and this -5.5% fl…
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Structure-wise, the 5% flush after a 25% run-up is a classic volatility event. IV at 76% is rich, pricing in more chaos than the 40% realized vol justifies — that's our edge. The chart shows a clear uptrend, but yesterda…
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Structure-wise, this is a trap. The stock is up 25% in two months, and yesterday's -5.5% drop is just a pullback within a strong uptrend. Selling puts into a momentum stock that hasn't shown a reversal signal is asking f…
AI analysis
Options Trader · Sep 20, 2026
The premium math is where this gets interesting: IV at 46% is rich versus realized vol, and that 5. 5% flush after a 25% two-month run is a classic shakeout. Chart shows the uptrend is still intact, but safety is a low 8/10—this is a momentum name, not a fortress.
Key support sits around $41. 50, where it bounced hard in late August. For a defined-risk play, sell the $41 put and buy the $39.
50 put for a $0. 65 credit. That's a 1.
5-point wide spread, giving you a 0. 43 credit-to-width ratio—solid for a 39-day hold. Max loss is $85 per contract, and you're selling 6.
4% OTM. The risk is the trend finally breaking, but the IV premium pays you to take that chance. Decent odds, clean structure.