HPE
Rating 2.5 / 5 AI signal Pass signal

Credit put spread analysis · · Moderate setup

IV Rank
66
Implied volatility percentile
Trend
0.83
Long-term trend score
Safety
7/10
Quality checks passed
Drop
-8.3%
Day 3 of drop
1Y Change
31.9%
Trailing 12 months
Earnings
Clear
No event in window

AI analysis

Risk-first take: An 8% drop after a 32% two-month run is a classic bull trap, not a floor. IV is rich at 66%, but the chart shows zero reversal signal and the safety score is a flashing 7/10. The market regime is caution, and breadth is middling — this isn't the time to lean into a momentum stock's first pullback.

For a credit put spread, you'd need to sell a put around $52, but that's barely 5% OTM and offers terrible premium for the risk of catching a falling knife. The math doesn't care about the dip; the structure just doesn't pay. Wait for a confirmed base.

Trade history on HPE

Automated positions disclosed on this ticker — what was traded, when, and how it ended. Not a solicitation to trade.

OpenedStrikes (S/B)ExpirationCreditP/LOutcome
Oct 13, 2026 $55.00/$50.00 Nov 19, 2026 $0.90 -$1.03 Loss · reconciled_broker_close
Jun 7, 2026 $41.00/$40.00 Jul 16, 2026 $0.24 -$0.16 Loss · reconciled_broker_close

Earlier analyses

  1. 3.4/5 Hold signal

    Strip out the noise and what you've got is a stock that's still up 32% in two months taking a sharp, high-volume breather. The 79% IV is rich and pricing in more chaos than the 58% realized vol, so we're getting paid for…

  2. 3.7/5 Open signal

    Strip out the noise and what you've got is a stock that's still up 30% in two months taking a breather. The 57% IV is rich versus realized vol, so we're getting paid for the perceived risk. Chart-wise, it's testing the $…

  3. 3.8/5 Open signal

    Support levels are the headline: the stock has been in a clear uptrend, and this 10% flush is testing the first major floor around $60. The doji reversal signal is promising, suggesting the selling may be exhausting. IV…

  4. 0.0/5 Hold signal

    [dedup-flagged] This selloff deserves a closer look — but the math says pass. The stock is up 24% over two months and just got a 10% haircut; that's a healthy correction, not a capitulation. IV at 69% is high, but realiz…

  5. 3.5/5 Open signal

    The chart tells an interesting story here: a sharp one-day drop, but it's landing right on the rising 50-day moving average and a prior consolidation zone near $61. That's a logical spot for a stand. IV at 54% is high bu…