Credit put spread analysis · · Moderate setup
Earlier analyses
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[dedup-flagged] Volatility is doing something worth noting: IV at 53% is rich, but it's barely covering the 73% realized vol from this stock's recent tantrum. The chart shows a nasty -9.86% flush, but it's still up 26% i…
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The chart is breaking down, with yesterday's plunge slicing through the 2-month uptrend. Key support is now the $38-$40 zone from July; a break there opens the trapdoor. IV at 55% is high, but with realized vol at 72%, i…
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Support levels are the headline: that -9.86% drop sliced right through the 50-day moving average and the $44 floor that held all month. The chart is broken, and with no reversal signal, catching this falling knife is a s…
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The selloff looks dramatic until you realize it's just a pullback within a powerful 20% two-month uptrend. The chart shows support at $50, which held firm in June and again last week — that's the line in the sand. IV at…
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The floor on this chart is the real question: RBLX is still up 20% in two months, so this -5% dip is just a pullback within a strong uptrend. Key support sits near $50, where it bounced hard in late June. IV at 86% is ri…
AI analysis
Options Trader · Sep 30, 2026
Support levels are the headline: that -9. 86% drop sliced through the entire uptrend, and the 'Doji reversal' is a hope, not a floor. IV at 56% is rich, but it's barely covering the 72.
6% realized vol — the math says you're not getting paid enough for the whiplash. In this choppy regime, with breadth weak, the stock needs to prove it can hold above $40. Structure-wise, you could sell the $39 put and buy the $37 for maybe $0.
60, but that's a 1:4 risk/reward on a name that just broke trend. The risk-first view wins: this is a falling knife in a shaky tape. Verdict: let the dust settle.