Credit put spread analysis · · Good setup
Earlier analyses
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Support levels are the headline: MARA's 5.5% drop yesterday tapped the $9.50 area, which has been a magnet for price action over the last month. The 53% trend score and 33% two-month rally suggest this is a pullback, not…
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This selloff deserves a closer look — but the chart is a mess. The stock is up 34% in two months, yet yesterday's drop is a blip against a 68% realized volatility backdrop. The IV at 30% is cheap relative to that realize…
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This selloff deserves a closer look — but the chart is screaming 'stay away.' Up 34% in two months, yesterday's drop is a blip in a volatile uptrend, not a floor. The 20-day realized vol at 68% dwarfs the 45% IV, making…
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Support levels are the headline: MARA is testing the $11 zone after a sharp drop, but this is still a 40% run-up in two months finding a floor. The IV at 34% is rich relative to its own 67% realized vol, but that's the o…
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[dedup-flagged] The chart is the story: a 40% run over two months followed by a sharp drop on no signal suggests this is a momentum breather, not a floor. Key support is untested below $10. IV at 35% is rich, but realize…
AI analysis
Options Trader · Oct 11, 2026
[dedup-flagged] Support levels are the headline: MARA's 5. 6% dip is a pullback within a powerful two-month uptrend, and it's finding footing near the $9. 20-$9.
30 zone that's held multiple times. The IV is a modest 23%, but it's actually rich relative to the wild 64% realized vol—the math says we're getting paid for the real risk. The skeptic in me notes the safety score is a 6/10; this is a crypto proxy, not a utility.
Structure a defined-risk put spread to lean on that support. Sell the $9 put, buy the $8 for protection, netting around $0. 45.
That's a 0. 45 credit on a $1 wide spread—a clean 45% return on risk that pays for the volatility. Verdict: A decent, aggressive play on trend continuation.