Credit put spread analysis · · Weak setup
Earlier analyses
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The selloff looks dramatic until you see the 20-day realized vol at 68.6% dwarfing the 20% IV — this thing is a hand grenade, and IV is pricing it like a firecracker. That's a massive disconnect. The chart shows a doji r…
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Before you touch this spread, the chart shows a Doji reversal after a 5.6% flush, but the trend is still up 23% over two months — that's a lot of air underneath. IV at 27% is rich versus 66.5% realized vol, but that's be…
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[dedup-flagged] First thing I'd check on this name: a 5.6% drop on a Doji reversal day suggests a floor might be forming, but the chart is a mess. It's up 23% in two months but just got slapped back to $10.23. The 65% re…
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Here's the risk/reward in plain English: a 5.5% flush after a 25% run-up is a classic volatility trap. IV is screaming at 100%, but that's a sucker's bet when the chart shows no floor and the 20-day realized vol is 40 po…
AI analysis
Options Trader · Sep 27, 2026
The selloff looks dramatic until you realize this stock is a $9 volatility machine with 65% realized vol — yesterday's drop is just Tuesday. IV at 30% is cheap relative to that, but that's because the underlying is a grenade. The chart shows a doji trying to form a floor, but with a 'Safety' score of 6/10, there's no real support until the $8.
50 washout from July. In this choppy regime, selling a put here is picking up nickels in front of a steamroller. Even a 5% OTM put at $8.
75 would pay pennies against a wide, dangerous spread. The credit-to-width math fails instantly on anything defined. Verdict: This isn't a trade, it's a donation.