Credit put spread analysis · · Moderate setup
Earlier analyses
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If you're selling puts here, you're betting the 11% two-month uptrend holds after a flush. The chart shows a clear bounce zone around $24.50, which is about 5% lower. IV at 80% is rich, but it's justified given the stock…
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Here's the risk/reward in plain English: The stock is still up 28% over two months, so this 6% dip is noise within a larger uptrend. The chart shows a clear floor around $25 that's held multiple times; yesterday's flush…
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Credit here has to justify the gap risk — and at 76% IV, it does. The stock is up 28% over two months, so this 6% drop looks like a healthy pullback toward the rising 50-day moving average, not a breakdown. The chart sho…
AI analysis
Options Trader · Jun 25, 2026
The AI's notes below mention opening a position, but the rating (3.2/5) sits below our public-display threshold of 3.5/5, so this setup is marked Hold rather than as a tradable idea.
First thing I'd check on this name: that 6% drop is a classic shakeout, but it's landing right on the 50-day moving average and a prior consolidation zone near $26. The doji candle suggests indecision, not capitulation. IV at 67% is juicy, but it's actually slightly cheap versus realized vol, so we're not overpaying for protection.
For a credit put spread, I'd sell the $25 put and buy the $23. 50, a $1. 50 wide spread.
You can realistically collect about $0. 45 in premium, giving a credit-to-width ratio of 0. 30.
Max loss is contained, and you're getting paid to bet the floor holds. It's not a screaming buy, but the defined risk and decent odds make it a decent, moderate-risk play.